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The idea of the American media conglomerate taking over ITV has prompted apprehensions about the consequences on British public service broadcasting, a reality that Channel 4’s new chief executive, joining from a high-ranking position at Sky, will be all too well aware of.

Sky’s commercial director, Priya Dogra, will now be expected to spearhead efforts to thwart her former employer’s buyout proposal to defend Channel 4.

The proposed combination of Sky and ITV’s TV business would leave Channel 4 a significantly weaker competitor in the realm of TV and digital ad sales, reviving discussion of the need to re-examine some form of tie-up with the BBC for continued existence.

Primary Concern: The Future of News

However, it is the potential ramifications on the future of news provision that are causing the most urgent concern for many within the television industry.

The surprise news last month that Comcast, which controls assets including Universal Studios and acquired Rupert Murdoch’s Sky for £30bn in 2018, makes commercial sense. Traditional broadcasters are facing a deep-seated viability crisis as audiences and revenues continue to rapidly migrate to global digital players such as Meta, Google, Amazon, and Netflix.

“Comcast’s bid for ITV is causing nervousness among media watchers, with particular concern for news provision.”

However, the potential £1.6bn acquisition of ITV’s television business and streaming service, which would end 70 years of independence, is riddled with regulatory, political, and competition issues.

Immediately, Comcast would control Sky News and ITV News—including its extensive regional news operation—and become the biggest shareholder in ITN, which produces news for ITV, Channel 4, and Channel 5.

While Comcast’s 40% stake in ITN would not be a controlling stake—other shareholders include the owner of the Daily Mail, Thomson Reuters, and Informa—it would still be heavily involved in the news output of most of the main commercial broadcasters.

“If a deal goes through, the fate of ITN is an pivotal one that will concentrate attention politically,” says one senior TV executive. “Effectively, they will be involved in the news output of all the biggest non-BBC channels.”

Funding Guarantees and Regulatory Scrutiny

Comcast pledged to keep funding Sky News for a decade, raising its funding annually in line with inflation, as part of its 2018 takeover of Sky. As that obligation draws closer to concluding, concerns have been raised about whether the US company will continue to wholly support Sky News, which has an annual budget of £100m but is thought to make losses of as much as £80m.

It is believed that any deal to buy ITV would include pledges not to seek permission from media regulator Ofcom to vary the conditions of its public service broadcast licence, which includes commitments to national and regional news.

“There are clearly questions about diversity of voice,” says Stewart Puvis, a former ITN chief executive. “Theoretically, Comcast could, say, merge Sky and ITV News and use its position as a 40% shareholder in ITN to wield power... I would hope Comcast realise ways of solving these problems.”

An Endangered Model

British TV executives have previously highlighted the risk posed to the UK’s system of public service broadcasters (PSBs) by large parts of the industry being taken over by US corporations.

Recently, Ofcom published a report warning that public service television, such as news provision and UK-focused content, risks becoming an “threatened entity” as viewers migrate to US online platforms and streamers.

The watchdog also revealed data showing that YouTube had exceeded ITV to become the UK’s second most-watched media service, behind only the BBC, with it and Netflix now the two most popular first TV destinations among young people.

The Need for Unity

There are those who believe that a Sky takeover of ITV, against the context of the viewer shift to mostly US digital companies, heralds the need for closer cooperation between the UK’s biggest broadcasters.

“The UK wants and needs its own part of mass media which isn’t US controlled,” says a second broadcasting executive. “It’s a national strategic imperative. I think the government needs to work out how the boards of the PSBs have a new part to their remits that requires them to collaborate.”

Given that advertisers follow eyeballs, a combination of Sky and ITV could create a British TV and streaming powerhouse, with the two companies’ sales houses controlling a dominant share of total ad spend on traditional TV and broadcasters’ streaming services.

Regulatory Hurdles

Any deal will necessitate an investigation by the UK competition watchdog. Sky is hoping the regulator will expand the view of the ad market to include the impact of giants like YouTube and Facebook.

“I think it will get passed,” says Alex DeGroote, a media analyst. “Comcast will do everything it can to say it will maintain the PSB status quo... But you don’t buy to ultimately keep everything the same. ITV plus Sky would give them a hugely dominant position in the TV ad market.”

Funding Problems of Channel 4 and the BBC

Channel 4, which relies on advertising for the vast majority of its income, now faces a eroded BBC as a potential partner and a formidable commercial threat from a combined Sky-ITV.

“We may at some point end up in that situation because of the deep cumulative cuts to the BBC’s funding and because Channel 4, too, has a structural funding problem,” says Patrick Barwise, an emeritus professor at London Business School. “Channel 4 has repeatedly defied expectations, but that is just delaying the inevitable. It’s now beginning to reach its limits.”

The continuing debate highlights a larger question for British media: how to maintain a independent voice and a robust public service ecosystem in an progressively globalised and digitally dominated landscape.